Extremadura PAU Applied Mathematics for Social Sciences II study materials
Extremadura PAU Applied Mathematics for Social Sciences II study resources

Extremadura PAU Applied Mathematics for Social Sciences II practice questions

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Question 1Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Evaluate the limit lim_(x->inf) (4x^2 - 3x + 1) / (2x^2 + 5x - 7).

  1. 0
  2. 4
  3. 2 Correct answer.
  4. Infinity

Explanation

Since both numerator and denominator are polynomials of degree 2, the limit as x -> inf equals the ratio of leading coefficients: 4 / 2 = 2.

Question 2Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the derivative of the polynomial function f(x) = 3x^4 - 5x^2 + 7x - 9.

  1. 12x^3 - 10x^2 + 7
  2. 3x^3 - 5x + 7
  3. 12x^3 - 5x + 7
  4. 12x^3 - 10x + 7 Correct answer.

Explanation

Apply the power rule to each term: d/dx(3x^4) = 12x^3 d/dx(-5x^2) = -10x d/dx(7x) = 7 d/dx(-9) = 0. Thus, f'(x) = 12x^3 - 10x + 7.

Question 3Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

If f(x) = x^3 - 4x, calculate the value of f'(2).

  1. 8 Correct answer.
  2. 12
  3. 4
  4. 0

Explanation

f'(x) = 3x^2 - 4. Substitute x = 2: f'(2) = 3(2)^2 - 4 = 3(4) - 4 = 12 - 4 = 8.

Question 4Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Calculate the indefinite integral int (6x^2 - 4x + 3) dx.

  1. 6x^3 - 4x^2 + 3x + C
  2. 2x^3 - 2x^2 + 3x + C Correct answer.
  3. 12x - 4 + C
  4. 3x^3 - 2x^2 + 3x + C

Explanation

Integrate term by term using power rule int x^n dx = x^(n+1)/(n+1): int 6x^2 dx = 6(x^3/3) = 2x^3 int -4x dx = -4(x^2/2) = -2x^2 int 3 dx = 3x. Result: 2x^3 - 2x^2 + 3x + C.

Question 5Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Evaluate the definite integral int_1^3 (2x + 1) dx.

  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 10 Correct answer.
  4. 14

Explanation

Find antiderivative F(x) = x^2 + x. Apply Fundamental Theorem of Calculus: F(3) = 3^2 + 3 = 9 + 3 = 12. F(1) = 1^2 + 1 = 1 + 1 = 2. F(3) - F(1) = 12 - 2 = 10.

Question 6Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the equation of the tangent line to the curve f(x) = x^2 - 3x + 2 at x = 4.

  1. y = 5x - 6
  2. y = 3x - 6
  3. y = 5x - 20
  4. y = 5x - 14 Correct answer.

Explanation

1) Point of tangency: f(4) = 4^2 - 3(4) + 2 = 16 - 12 + 2 = 6. Point (4, 6). 2) Slope m = f'(4): f'(x) = 2x - 3 => f'(4) = 2(4) - 3 = 5. 3) Line equation: y - 6 = 5(x - 4) => y = 5x - 20 + 6 => y = 5x - 14.

Question 7Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

A revenue function is given by R(x) = 100x - 0.5x^2. Find the marginal revenue MR(x) = R'(x) when x = 40 units.

  1. 60 Correct answer.
  2. 80
  3. 100
  4. 40

Explanation

MR(x) = R'(x) = 100 - 2(0.5x) = 100 - x. At x = 40: MR(40) = 100 - 40 = 60.

Question 8Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the critical points of the function f(x) = x^3 - 3x.

  1. x = 0 and x = 3
  2. x = -1 and x = 1 Correct answer.
  3. x = 0 and x = sqrt(3)
  4. x = -3 and x = 3

Explanation

Set first derivative to zero: f'(x) = 3x^2 - 3 = 0. 3(x^2 - 1) = 0 => x^2 = 1 => x = 1 and x = -1.

Question 9Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Determine the vertical asymptote of the rational function f(x) = (2x + 1) / (x - 3).

  1. x = -3
  2. y = 2
  3. x = 3 Correct answer.
  4. y = 3

Explanation

Vertical asymptotes occur where the denominator is zero and numerator is non-zero: x - 3 = 0 => x = 3. Since numerator 2(3) + 1 = 7 != 0, x = 3 is a vertical asymptote.

Question 10Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Calculate the area of the region bounded by the curve y = 3x^2, the x-axis, and lines x = 0 and x = 2.

  1. 6
  2. 12
  3. 4
  4. 8 Correct answer.

Explanation

Area = int_0^2 3x^2 dx = [x^3]_0^2 = 2^3 - 0^3 = 8 square units.

Question 11Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

For what value of parameter 'a' is the piecewise function continuous at x = 2? f(x) = 2x + a for x <= 2, and x^2 - 1 for x > 2.

  1. a = -1 Correct answer.
  2. a = 1
  3. a = 3
  4. a = -3

Explanation

For continuity at x = 2, left-hand limit equals right-hand limit: Left-hand limit: lim_(x->2-) (2x + a) = 2(2) + a = 4 + a. Right-hand limit: lim_(x->2+) (x^2 - 1) = 2^2 - 1 = 3. Set 4 + a = 3 => a = 3 - 4 = -1.

Question 12Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Evaluate the limit lim_(x->3) (x^2 - 9) / (x - 3).

  1. 0
  2. 6 Correct answer.
  3. 3
  4. Undefined

Explanation

Direct substitution gives 0/0 (indeterminate form). Factor numerator: x^2 - 9 = (x - 3)(x + 3). lim_(x->3) [(x - 3)(x + 3)] / (x - 3) = lim_(x->3) (x + 3) = 3 + 3 = 6.

Question 13Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the derivative of f(x) = x^2 * e^x.

  1. 2x e^x
  2. x^2 e^x
  3. (x^2 + 2x) e^x Correct answer.
  4. (2x + 1) e^x

Explanation

Apply the product rule (u*v)' = u'*v + u*v': u = x^2 => u' = 2x v = e^x => v' = e^x. f'(x) = 2x e^x + x^2 e^x = (x^2 + 2x) e^x.

Question 14Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the derivative of f(x) = (2x + 1) / (x + 2).

  1. 2 / (x+2)^2
  2. 1 / (x+2)^2
  3. (4x + 5) / (x+2)^2
  4. 3 / (x+2)^2 Correct answer.

Explanation

Apply quotient rule (u/v)' = (u'v - uv') / v^2: u = 2x + 1 => u' = 2 v = x + 2 => v' = 1. f'(x) = [2(x + 2) - (2x + 1)(1)] / (x + 2)^2 = [2x + 4 - 2x - 1] / (x + 2)^2 = 3 / (x + 2)^2.

Question 15Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

A firm's profit function is P(x) = -x^2 + 80x - 1200, where x is the production quantity in units. What production quantity x maximizes total profit?

  1. x = 40 Correct answer.
  2. x = 80
  3. x = 20
  4. x = 50

Explanation

To maximize profit, set P'(x) = 0: P'(x) = -2x + 80 = 0 => 2x = 80 => x = 40. Check second derivative: P''(x) = -2 < 0, confirming a local maximum at x = 40 units.

Question 16Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Using the profit function P(x) = -x^2 + 80x - 1200, what is the maximum profit value achievable?

  1. 200
  2. 400 Correct answer.
  3. 800
  4. 1600

Explanation

Substitute the optimal production quantity x = 40 into P(x): P(40) = -(40)^2 + 80(40) - 1200 = -1600 + 3200 - 1200 = 400 monetary units.

Question 17Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

A total cost function is C(x) = 2x^2 + 500x + 1800. What quantity x minimizes average cost AC(x) = C(x)/x?

  1. x = 20
  2. x = 25
  3. x = 30 Correct answer.
  4. x = 45

Explanation

Average cost AC(x) = (2x^2 + 500x + 1800) / x = 2x + 500 + 1800/x. Set AC'(x) = 0: AC'(x) = 2 - 1800/x^2 = 0 => 2 = 1800/x^2 => 2x^2 = 1800 => x^2 = 900 => x = 30 units.

Question 18Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the inflection point of the cubic function f(x) = x^3 - 6x^2 + 9x + 5.

  1. (1, 9)
  2. (3, 5)
  3. (2, 5)
  4. (2, 7) Correct answer.

Explanation

1) First derivative: f'(x) = 3x^2 - 12x + 9. 2) Second derivative: f''(x) = 6x - 12. Set f''(x) = 0 => 6x = 12 => x = 2. 3) Y-coordinate: f(2) = 2^3 - 6(2^2) + 9(2) + 5 = 8 - 24 + 18 + 5 = 7. Inflection point is (2, 7).

Question 19Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Evaluate the indefinite integral int 2x (x^2 + 3)^4 dx using substitution.

  1. (x^2 + 3)^5 / 5 + C Correct answer.
  2. (x^2 + 3)^5 + C
  3. 2x (x^2 + 3)^5 / 5 + C
  4. (x^2 + 3)^3 / 3 + C

Explanation

Let u = x^2 + 3, so du = 2x dx. The integral becomes int u^4 du = u^5 / 5 + C = (x^2 + 3)^5 / 5 + C.

Question 20Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the area of the region bounded between the curves f(x) = x^2 and g(x) = 4.

  1. 16/3
  2. 32/3 Correct answer.
  3. 8
  4. 64/3

Explanation

Intersection points: x^2 = 4 => x = -2 and x = 2. Area = int_-2^2 (4 - x^2) dx = [4x - x^3/3]_-2^2 = [4(2) - 8/3] - [4(-2) - (-8)/3] = (8 - 8/3) - (-8 + 8/3) = (16/3) - (-16/3) = 32/3 square units.

Question 21Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Calculate the area of the region bounded by the curve y = x^2 - 4x and the x-axis.

  1. 16/3
  2. 64/3
  3. 32/3 Correct answer.
  4. 8

Explanation

Roots of y = x^2 - 4x: x(x - 4) = 0 => x = 0 and x = 4. Between x = 0 and x = 4, the curve lies below the x-axis (y <= 0). Area = - int_0^4 (x^2 - 4x) dx = - [x^3/3 - 2x^2]_0^4 = - [64/3 - 32] = - [64/3 - 96/3] = - (-32/3) = 32/3 square units.

Question 22Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find parameters 'a' and 'b' so that f(x) = a x^2 + b for x <= 1, and 3x + 1 for x > 1 is both continuous and differentiable at x = 1.

  1. a = 3, b = 1
  2. a = 2, b = 2
  3. a = 1, b = 3
  4. a = 1.5, b = 2.5 Correct answer.

Explanation

1) Differentiability at x = 1: Left derivative d/dx(ax^2 + b) = 2ax => at x = 1 is 2a. Right derivative d/dx(3x + 1) = 3. Set 2a = 3 => a = 1.5. 2) Continuity at x = 1: a(1)^2 + b = 3(1) + 1 => 1.5 + b = 4 => b = 2.5.

Question 23Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the horizontal asymptote of the rational function f(x) = (5x^2 - 3) / (2x^2 + 7x + 1).

  1. y = 5/2 Correct answer.
  2. y = 0
  3. y = 5
  4. No horizontal asymptote

Explanation

As x -> +-inf, the ratio of leading terms is (5x^2) / (2x^2) = 5/2. Therefore, the horizontal asymptote is y = 5/2.

Question 24Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the local minimum point of f(x) = x^3 - 3x^2 - 9x + 2.

  1. (-1, 7)
  2. (3, -25) Correct answer.
  3. (0, 2)
  4. (1, -9)

Explanation

1) f'(x) = 3x^2 - 6x - 9 = 3(x^2 - 2x - 3) = 3(x - 3)(x + 1) = 0 => x = 3, x = -1. 2) Second derivative: f''(x) = 6x - 6. For x = 3: f''(3) = 12 > 0 (Local Minimum). 3) f(3) = 3^3 - 3(3^2) - 9(3) + 2 = 27 - 27 - 27 + 2 = -25. Local minimum point is (3, -25).

Question 25Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Evaluate the indefinite integral int (3x^2 + 2) / (x^3 + 2x - 5) dx.

  1. (3x^2 + 2)^2 / 2 + C
  2. 3 ln|x^3 + 2x - 5| + C
  3. ln|x^3 + 2x - 5| + C Correct answer.
  4. 1 / (x^3 + 2x - 5)^2 + C

Explanation

Notice that numerator is the exact derivative of denominator: d/dx(x^3 + 2x - 5) = 3x^2 + 2. Using standard form int (u'/u) dx = ln|u| + C: Result = ln|x^3 + 2x - 5| + C.

Question 26Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

A factory has a marginal cost function MC(x) = 6x + 20 and fixed costs of 100 euros. Find the total cost function C(x).

  1. 6x^2 + 20x + 100
  2. 3x^2 + 20x
  3. 3x^2 + 100x + 20
  4. 3x^2 + 20x + 100 Correct answer.

Explanation

C(x) = int MC(x) dx = int (6x + 20) dx = 3x^2 + 20x + C_0. Since fixed costs C(0) = 100, C_0 = 100. Thus C(x) = 3x^2 + 20x + 100.

Question 27Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Evaluate the definite integral int_0^1 (e^(2x) + x) dx.

  1. 0.5 e^2 Correct answer.
  2. e^2 - 1
  3. 0.5 e^2 + 1
  4. e^2

Explanation

Antiderivative F(x) = 0.5 e^(2x) + 0.5 x^2. Evaluate at upper limit 1: F(1) = 0.5 e^2 + 0.5(1)^2 = 0.5 e^2 + 0.5. Evaluate at lower limit 0: F(0) = 0.5 e^0 + 0 = 0.5. F(1) - F(0) = (0.5 e^2 + 0.5) - 0.5 = 0.5 e^2.

Question 28Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

A demand function for a product is p(x) = 120 - 2x euros per unit. What unit price p maximizes total revenue R(x) = p(x) * x?

  1. €30
  2. €60 Correct answer.
  3. €90
  4. €120

Explanation

Revenue function: R(x) = (120 - 2x) * x = 120x - 2x^2. Set R'(x) = 0: R'(x) = 120 - 4x = 0 => 4x = 120 => x = 30 units. Substitute x = 30 into price function: p(30) = 120 - 2(30) = 120 - 60 = €60.

Question 29Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

The cubic function f(x) = x^3 + a x^2 + b x + 4 has a local extremum at the point (1, 2). Find the values of parameters 'a' and 'b'.

  1. a = -1, b = -2
  2. a = -3, b = 0
  3. a = 0, b = -3 Correct answer.
  4. a = 1, b = -4

Explanation

1) Point condition f(1) = 2: 1^3 + a(1^2) + b(1) + 4 = 2 => 1 + a + b + 4 = 2 => a + b = -3. 2) Extremum condition f'(1) = 0: f'(x) = 3x^2 + 2ax + b => f'(1) = 3 + 2a + b = 0 => 2a + b = -3. Subtract equations: (2a + b) - (a + b) = -3 - (-3) => a = 0. Substitute a = 0 into a + b = -3 => b = -3. Thus, a = 0 and b = -3.

Question 30Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Calculate the total area enclosed between the curves f(x) = x^3 - 3x and g(x) = x.

  1. 4
  2. 16
  3. 6
  4. 8 Correct answer.

Explanation

1) Intersection points: x^3 - 3x = x => x^3 - 4x = 0 => x(x - 2)(x + 2) = 0 => x = -2, 0, 2. 2) By symmetry, Area = 2 * int_0^2 [x - (x^3 - 3x)] dx = 2 * int_0^2 (4x - x^3) dx. 3) 2 * [2x^2 - x^4/4]_0^2 = 2 * [2(4) - 16/4] = 2 * [8 - 4] = 2 * 4 = 8 square units.

Question 31Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find the absolute minimum and absolute maximum values of f(x) = 2x^3 - 9x^2 + 12x + 1 on the closed interval [0, 3].

  1. Absolute min = 1, Absolute max = 10 Correct answer.
  2. Absolute min = 5, Absolute max = 6
  3. Absolute min = 1, Absolute max = 6
  4. Absolute min = 0, Absolute max = 3

Explanation

1) Critical points inside (0, 3): f'(x) = 6x^2 - 18x + 12 = 6(x^2 - 3x + 2) = 6(x - 1)(x - 2) = 0 => x = 1, 2. 2) Candidate values: f(0) = 1 f(1) = 2(1) - 9(1) + 12(1) + 1 = 6 f(2) = 2(8) - 9(4) + 12(2) + 1 = 16 - 36 + 24 + 1 = 5 f(3) = 2(27) - 9(9) + 12(3) + 1 = 54 - 81 + 36 + 1 = 10. Absolute minimum is 1 (at x = 0) and absolute maximum is 10 (at x = 3).

Question 32Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Compute the indefinite integral int x * e^(3x) dx using integration by parts.

  1. (x - 1) e^(3x) / 3 + C
  2. (3x - 1) e^(3x) / 9 + C Correct answer.
  3. x e^(3x) / 3 + C
  4. (x^2 / 2) e^(3x) / 3 + C

Explanation

Formula int u dv = u v - int v du. Let u = x => du = dx. Let dv = e^(3x) dx => v = (1/3) e^(3x). int x e^(3x) dx = (x/3) e^(3x) - int (1/3) e^(3x) dx = (x/3) e^(3x) - (1/9) e^(3x) + C = (3x - 1) e^(3x) / 9 + C.

Question 33Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

An open box is constructed from a 12 cm by 12 cm square piece of cardboard by cutting equal squares of side length x from each corner and folding up the sides. What side length x maximizes the volume V(x) = x (12 - 2x)^2?

  1. x = 3 cm, V = 108 cm^3
  2. x = 4 cm, V = 64 cm^3
  3. x = 2 cm, V = 128 cm^3 Correct answer.
  4. x = 1 cm, V = 100 cm^3

Explanation

1) V(x) = x(144 - 48x + 4x^2) = 4x^3 - 48x^2 + 144x. 2) V'(x) = 12x^2 - 96x + 144 = 12(x^2 - 8x + 12) = 12(x - 2)(x - 6) = 0 => x = 2 or x = 6. 3) Since x < 6 for a valid box, x = 2 cm. 4) Max volume V(2) = 2(12 - 4)^2 = 2(64) = 128 cm^3.

Question 34Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Find parameters 'a' and 'b' so that the 3-branch function f(x) is continuous everywhere: f(x) = x + 1 for x < 0, a x + b for 0 <= x <= 2, and x^2 - 1 for x > 2.

  1. a = 2, b = 1
  2. a = 1, b = 0
  3. a = 0, b = 1
  4. a = 1, b = 1 Correct answer.

Explanation

1) Continuity at x = 0: lim_(x->0-) (x + 1) = 1. Value at 0 is a(0) + b = b. Set b = 1. 2) Continuity at x = 2: Value at 2 is a(2) + b = 2a + 1. Right limit lim_(x->2+) (x^2 - 1) = 3. Set 2a + 1 = 3 => 2a = 2 => a = 1. Thus a = 1 and b = 1.

Question 35Análisis, límites, derivadas y optimización

Evaluate the definite integral int_0^1 (1 / (x + 1) + 2x) dx.

  1. ln(2) + 1 Correct answer.
  2. ln(2)
  3. 2 ln(2)
  4. ln(2) + 2

Explanation

Antiderivative F(x) = ln|x + 1| + x^2. Evaluate at upper limit 1: F(1) = ln(2) + 1^2 = ln(2) + 1. Evaluate at lower limit 0: F(0) = ln(1) + 0^2 = 0. F(1) - F(0) = ln(2) + 1.

Question 36Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

Given two events A and B with P(A) = 0.6, P(B) = 0.5, and P(A n B) = 0.3, find P(A u B).

  1. 1.1
  2. 0.8 Correct answer.
  3. 0.7
  4. 0.5

Explanation

By the inclusion-exclusion principle: P(A u B) = P(A) + P(B) - P(A n B) = 0.6 + 0.5 - 0.3 = 0.8.

Question 37Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

If the probability of event A occurring is P(A) = 0.35, what is the probability of its complement P(A')?

  1. 0.35
  2. 0.55
  3. 0.65 Correct answer.
  4. 0.75

Explanation

The sum of probabilities of an event and its complement is 1: P(A') = 1 - P(A) = 1 - 0.35 = 0.65.

Question 38Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

If events A and B are independent with P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5, find P(A n B).

  1. 0.90
  2. 0.10
  3. 0.30
  4. 0.20 Correct answer.

Explanation

For independent events, P(A n B) = P(A) * P(B) = 0.4 * 0.5 = 0.20.

Question 39Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

Given P(A n B) = 0.18 and P(B) = 0.60, calculate the conditional probability P(A|B).

  1. 0.30 Correct answer.
  2. 0.108
  3. 0.42
  4. 0.78

Explanation

By definition of conditional probability: P(A|B) = P(A n B) / P(B) = 0.18 / 0.60 = 0.30.

Question 40Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

In how many different orders can 5 candidates be listed on an election ballot?

  1. 25
  2. 120 Correct answer.
  3. 60
  4. 24

Explanation

The number of permutations of 5 distinct items is 5!: 5! = 5 * 4 * 3 * 2 * 1 = 120 ways.

Question 41Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

How many different 3-person committees can be selected from a group of 8 people?

  1. 336
  2. 24
  3. 56 Correct answer.
  4. 112

Explanation

Since committee member order does not matter, use combinations C(n, k): C(8, 3) = 8! / (3! * 5!) = (8 * 7 * 6) / (3 * 2 * 1) = 336 / 6 = 56.

Question 42Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

For a standard normal random variable Z ~ N(0,1), find P(Z <= 1.96).

  1. 0.9500
  2. 0.9800
  3. 0.9900
  4. 0.9750 Correct answer.

Explanation

Using standard normal distribution tables, the cumulative probability up to Z = 1.96 is Phi(1.96) = 0.9750.

Question 43Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

For Z ~ N(0,1), if P(Z <= 1.645) = 0.9500, find P(Z >= 1.645).

  1. 0.0500 Correct answer.
  2. 0.0250
  3. 0.1000
  4. 0.9500

Explanation

By the complement rule: P(Z >= 1.645) = 1 - P(Z <= 1.645) = 1 - 0.9500 = 0.0500.

Question 44Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

A normal distribution has mean mu = 100 and standard deviation sigma = 15. Standardize X = 130 into a Z-score.

  1. 1.5
  2. 2.0 Correct answer.
  3. 2.5
  4. 3.0

Explanation

Z-score formula Z = (X - mu) / sigma: Z = (130 - 100) / 15 = 30 / 15 = 2.0.

Question 45Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

A population has standard deviation sigma = 20. If random samples of size n = 100 are taken, calculate the standard error of the sample mean sigma_xbar.

  1. 0.2
  2. 5
  3. 2 Correct answer.
  4. 20

Explanation

Standard error of the sample mean formula: sigma_xbar = sigma / sqrt(n) = 20 / sqrt(100) = 20 / 10 = 2.

Question 46Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

Find the margin of error E for a 95% confidence interval of the mean (z = 1.96) when population standard deviation sigma = 10 and sample size n = 100.

  1. 0.196
  2. 19.6
  3. 0.98
  4. 1.96 Correct answer.

Explanation

Margin of error E = z * (sigma / sqrt(n)) = 1.96 * (10 / sqrt(100)) = 1.96 * (10 / 10) = 1.96.

Question 47Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

In a factory, Machine A produces 60% of items with a 2% defect rate, and Machine B produces 40% with a 5% defect rate. What is the overall probability P(D) that a randomly chosen item is defective?

  1. 0.032 Correct answer.
  2. 0.035
  3. 0.070
  4. 0.028

Explanation

By the Total Probability Theorem: P(D) = P(A) * P(D|A) + P(B) * P(D|B) = (0.60 * 0.02) + (0.40 * 0.05) = 0.012 + 0.020 = 0.032 (3.2%).

Question 48Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

Using the data from Q077 (Machine A: 60%, 2% defect; Machine B: 40%, 5% defect; total P(D) = 0.032), if a randomly selected item is defective, what is the probability P(B|D) that it came from Machine B?

  1. 0.375
  2. 0.625 Correct answer.
  3. 0.500
  4. 0.400

Explanation

By Bayes' Theorem: P(B|D) = P(B n D) / P(D) = (0.40 * 0.05) / 0.032 = 0.020 / 0.032 = 5 / 8 = 0.625 (62.5%).

Question 49Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

If test scores follow a normal distribution X ~ N(mu = 70, sigma = 10), find P(60 <= X <= 80). Given Phi(1.0) = 0.8413.

  1. 0.9544
  2. 0.5000
  3. 0.6826 Correct answer.
  4. 0.3413

Explanation

Standardize bounds: Z1 = (60 - 70) / 10 = -1.0 Z2 = (80 - 70) / 10 = +1.0. P(-1.0 <= Z <= 1.0) = Phi(1.0) - Phi(-1.0) = 0.8413 - (1 - 0.8413) = 0.8413 - 0.1587 = 0.6826.

Question 50Probabilidad, distribuciones e inferencia

For a normal distribution X ~ N(mu = 50, sigma = 8), calculate P(X >= 66). Given Phi(2.0) = 0.9772.

  1. 0.9772
  2. 0.0456
  3. 0.1587
  4. 0.0228 Correct answer.

Explanation

Standardize X = 66: Z = (66 - 50) / 8 = 16 / 8 = 2.0. P(X >= 66) = P(Z >= 2.0) = 1 - Phi(2.0) = 1 - 0.9772 = 0.0228.