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NYPD Police Officer: Inductive Reasoning

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Inductive Reasoning

Inductive Reasoning asks you to find the pattern and predict what comes next, or to decide which general rule best explains a set of examples. Unlike deduction, induction yields probability, not certainty - so the best answer is the one most strongly supported, not the only possible one.

Concepts to master

  • Pattern types: numeric sequences (add, multiply, alternate), visual sequences (rotation, shading), and verbal categories.
  • Differences between terms: compute the gap between consecutive items; if the gaps themselves form a pattern, you have found the rule.
  • Alternating sequences: two interleaved patterns in one list.
  • Generalization: which rule covers all the examples without exceptions.
  • Counterexamples: one exception breaks a proposed rule.

Traps that appear

  1. A rule that fits the first few terms but fails later.
  2. Overly narrow rules that describe one example rather than the set.
  3. Overly broad rules that sweep in cases not shown.
  4. Arithmetic slips in sequences with two operations.

Worked example

Sequence: 3, 6, 12, 24, ?

Gaps: +3, +6, +12 - doubling, which is itself a pattern, but simpler: each term doubles. 3×2=6, 6×2=12, 12×2=24, so the next is 48. Always test the simplest rule first; here doubling explains every step, so you do not need the gap pattern.

Rule of thumb

Find the rule, then verify it against every term you were given. A rule that works for all terms beats a cleverer rule that works for most.