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The Term Policy Expiring in 14 Months: Convert, Replace, or Gamble?

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The Term Policy Expiring in 14 Months: Convert, Replace, or Gamble?

Marcus, age 58, bought a $500,000 20-year level term policy at age 40. It expires in 14 months. The contract lets him convert to any permanent plan the insurer offers until the earlier of the term's end or age 65, at attained-age rates and with no new underwriting. He was treated for prostate cancer 18 months ago and his oncologist now calls him cancer-free, but a new 20-year term quote of $2,940 a year assumes he can qualify - nothing is guaranteed. Converting the full $500,000 to whole life would cost $14,600 a year. He earns $95,000, owes $180,000 on a mortgage, has two children in college, and has $420,000 in retirement savings. He asks his producer whether he should simply let the term run out and buy cheaper coverage.

1. Should Marcus drop the term coverage now and apply for the cheaper new policy? Lay out the sequencing decision and the risk that drives it.

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No - he should not surrender anything until a replacement policy has been issued, delivered, and is past its free-look period.

The risk being priced here is insurability, not premium. The $2,940 quote is an offer to underwrite, not a promise to insure. With a prostate cancer history 18 months old, realistic outcomes are a table rating, an exclusion rider, a postponed application, or a decline. If he cancels the term first and is declined, he has converted a guaranteed $500,000 death benefit into nothing at the exact moment his health makes coverage hardest to buy.

Correct sequence: (1) Submit the new application and let underwriting finish. (2) Compare the offered new policy against the conversion, not the quoted one. (3) If the new policy is issued, deliver it, pay the first premium, and let the free-look period run. (4) Only then decide what to do with the term.

Critical deadline: the conversion right dies at the earlier of term expiry or age 65. That is 14 months away and cannot be extended, so any conversion must be exercised before that date even if the replacement application is still pending. The producer should document the conversation in writing.

2. Marcus can afford about $6,000 a year for permanent coverage. Design a partial-conversion strategy and explain the trade-offs.

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Use the conversion privilege for the coverage he can permanently afford; cover the rest with term he can actually qualify for.

At $14,600 per $500,000, $6,000 buys roughly $205,000 of whole life (6,000 ÷ 14,600 × 500,000). A defensible split:

  • Convert about $200,000 to whole life now - guaranteed, no underwriting, builds cash value, never expires.
  • Keep the remaining $300,000 of coverage as term, either by converting it to a convertible term/UL chassis or by buying a new term policy subject to underwriting.

Trade-offs to state plainly:

  • The permanent piece is small relative to his $180,000 mortgage plus college costs; it solves the permanent need (final expenses, a surviving spouse's lifetime gap) but not the temporary need.
  • Whole life at attained age 58 is expensive per dollar of death benefit, and surrender charges/front-loaded costs mean the cash value will lag premiums for years. He must intend to hold it.
  • He has $420,000 saved; permanent insurance should not crowd out retirement contributions.
  • If he converts in stages, some carriers allow only one conversion or set minimum face amounts - confirm before submitting.

The producer should model the ladder in writing: which dollars cover which need, and when the term piece is scheduled to end.

3. What does the conversion privilege actually buy Marcus that a brand-new policy cannot, and what should the producer document?

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What it buys: the right to acquire permanent coverage without evidence of insurability at a contractual price. That is a different product from a new policy, which is subject to full underwriting and can be rated, ridered, postponed, or declined. For a 58-year-old with a recent cancer diagnosis, the conversion privilege is the single most valuable asset in the contract - worth more than the premium difference.

Also confirm the mechanics, because they change the math significantly:

  • Whether conversion is at attained age (58) or original age (40, with a back-premium payment). Original-age conversion can be dramatically cheaper if the carrier still offers it and he can fund the makeup premium.
  • Whether partial conversion is permitted and whether the face must meet a minimum.
  • Whether the conversion must be to a specific plan or any permanent plan the insurer then offers.

Document: the conversion deadline date, the quoted permanent premiums, the fact that a replacement application is pending, the client's stated goals and budget, and that he was told the conversion right cannot be reinstated once it lapses. Send it to him. If a replacement is later made, the replacement notice and comparison must be completed and signed.