INFORMS CAP case studies
INFORMS CAP · Put your knowledge to work in context.
The Certified Analytics Professional (CAP) is a professional credential offered in the INFORMS ecosystem and administered through its own certification site, certifiedanalytics.org, which INFORMS links from its Professional Development menu. It is aimed at practicing analytics professionals who want independent recognition that they can take an analytics problem from framing through deployment and ongoing management, not just fit models. The INFORMS CAP case studies are 5 cases and about 3,843 words.
1The Readmission Model Nobody Asked For (Population Health)
A 420-bed nonprofit hospital holds a value-based contract in which 30-day unplanned readmissions trigger penalties; last year those penalties totaled $1.4M against a baseline readmission rate of 14.2%. The VP of Population Health asks your team to "build an AI model that predicts readmissions and get us to 10%." Investigation shows the only intervention on offer is a transitional-care nurse call placed within 48 hours of discharge, and the team has 62 call slots per week against roughly 240 weekly discharges.
799 words, about 4 min2Leakage and Censored Vintages in an SME Credit Model
A fintech lender originating working-capital loans to small businesses wants to replace its scorecard with a gradient-boosted model. The analytics team assembles 2019–2023 originations: 84,000 loans, 11% twelve-month default at 90+ days past due.
776 words, about 4 min3Sepsis Alert: Calibration, Capacity, and a 61% Override Rate
A 180-bed community hospital licenses a sepsis prediction model. Vendor validation reports AUC 0.86 and sensitivity 0.81 at a 0.5 cutoff, measured on a tertiary-academic, ICU-heavy cohort.
737 words, about 4 min4Nightly Forecasts, a Manual Promotion Table, and a $600k Markdown
A regional grocer runs a legacy rules-based replenishment forecast for 1,200 stores and roughly 38,000 store-SKU combinations. Weekly forecasts drive automatic orders to three distribution centers.
775 words, about 4 min5Fare Evasion Risk Scoring at a Transit Agency
A metropolitan transit agency's revenue protection team proposes buying a vendor's "fare evasion propensity" score to prioritize fare inspections. The score uses trip history, time of day, station entries, payment method, and a "neighborhood context" input derived from census tract.
756 words, about 4 min