CHSE Odisha Elective Statistics study plan
CHSE Odisha Elective Statistics · Give each week a clear focus.
8 weeks · About 7 hours per week
Descriptive Statistics and Measures of Location and Dispersion
Compute mean, median, mode, geometric mean and harmonic mean for raw, discrete and grouped data, and state which average is appropriate for a given data type
Calculate quartile deviation, mean deviation, variance and standard deviation for grouped data using both direct and assumed-mean (shortcut) methods
Derive and apply the relations among standard deviation, variance and coefficient of variation, and compare consistency of two data sets using CV
Compute and interpret moments (raw and central) up to the fourth order, and check skewness and kurtosis from them
Your checkpoint
A handwritten formula sheet plus 20 fully solved numerical problems on grouped-data dispersion and moments, with the coefficient of variation comparison worked out for at least 3 paired data sets
Probability Theory and Random Variables
State the axioms of probability and prove the addition theorem for two and three events, plus the multiplication theorem for independent events
Apply conditional probability and Bayes' theorem to solve classification-style problems with two or three events in the partition
Define discrete and continuous random variables, construct their probability mass and density functions, and verify the total probability equals 1
Derive the expectation and variance of a function of a random variable, and use the linearity of expectation on composite variables
Compute the moment generating function for simple discrete distributions and use it to obtain mean and variance
Your checkpoint
A 15-problem problem set on Bayes' theorem, expectation and MGF, solved end to end with the algebra shown, scoring at least 80% on self-check
Standard Probability Distributions
Derive the mean, variance and MGF of the binomial distribution, and fit a binomial distribution to a given frequency table
Derive the mean and variance of the Poisson distribution, and apply it as a limit of the binomial and to queuing/counting problems
Solve problems on the geometric and negative binomial distributions, distinguishing clearly when each applies
Derive the mean and variance of the continuous uniform and exponential distributions, and compute interval probabilities for each
State the normal distribution's density, standardise values via z-scores, and use standard normal tables for forward and inverse problems
Your checkpoint
A distribution comparison table (support, parameters, mean, variance, MGF, typical use case) for binomial, Poisson, geometric, uniform, exponential and normal, plus 12 solved fitting/probability problems
Correlation and Regression & Sampling Theory and Sampling Distributions
Compute Karl Pearson's and Spearman's rank correlation coefficients, and interpret sign and magnitude in context
Fit lines of regression of y on x and x on y using least squares, and verify that the product of the two regression coefficients equals r squared
Distinguish a population, sample, parameter and statistic, and enumerate the principal steps and merits of sampling versus complete enumeration
Compare simple random sampling, stratified sampling and systematic sampling, and compute the standard error of the sample mean under SRS with and without replacement
State the central limit theorem and explain why the sampling distribution of the mean approaches normality as n grows
Your checkpoint
A one-page derivation of the sampling distribution of the sample mean for SRSWOR, plus a worked correlation-regression case study including both regression lines and the r-squared check
Statistical Inference and Hypothesis Testing
Distinguish null and alternative hypotheses, one-tailed versus two-tailed tests, and define Type I error, Type II error and power
Construct a large-sample test for a single mean and for the difference of two means, and state the decision rule in terms of the critical value
Apply the Student's t-test for a single mean, difference of two means and paired samples, choosing the correct degrees of freedom
Perform a chi-square test of goodness of fit and of independence in a contingency table, and state the assumptions
Carry out an F-test for equality of two variances and interpret the p-value against a chosen significance level
Your checkpoint
A hypothesis-test decision tree covering z, t, chi-square and F tests, with 10 fully worked tests each reporting the statistic, degrees of freedom, critical value and conclusion
Design of Experiments and Analysis of Variance
State the principles of replication, randomisation and local control, and explain how each reduces experimental error
Set up the one-way ANOVA model, compute between-group and within-group sums of squares, and complete an ANOVA table
Test the equality of several means using the F-statistic and interpret the result in the language of the experiment
Describe the layout of a completely randomised design and a randomised block design, and identify when blocking is appropriate
Derive the expected mean squares for a one-way classification and explain the role of the degrees of freedom
Your checkpoint
A complete one-way ANOVA worked on a realistic data set (at least 4 treatments, 5 replications each), including the full table and a written interpretation, plus a short note on why a randomised block design would change the error term
Time Series and Index Numbers
Compute moving averages of order 3, 4 and 5, and explain which order removes which periodicity
Fit a linear trend by the least squares method and by the method of semi-averages, and forecast two periods ahead
Compute seasonal indices using the ratio-to-moving-average method and verify that the indices sum to 400 for quarterly data
Construct Laspeyres, Paasche and Fisher's ideal index numbers, and verify the time reversal and factor reversal tests
Explain the chain base method, splicing of index series and the concept of a cost-of-living index
Your checkpoint
A time series decomposition exercise using at least 12 periods of data: trend line, seasonal indices summing correctly, and a two-period forecast, plus a table comparing the three index formulas on one basket of goods
Descriptive Statistics and Measures of Location and Dispersion & Correlation and Regression & Probability Theory and Random Variables & Standard Probability Distributions & Sampling Theory and Sampling Distributions & Statistical Inference and Hypothesis Testing & Design of Experiments and Analysis of Variance & Time Series and Index Numbers
Revise every formula sheet from weeks 1 to 7 and rebuild a single condensed master sheet from memory
Complete two full-length timed mock papers under exam conditions, allocating time per mark value
Re-solve every problem previously marked wrong, without looking at the original solution, and log the recurring error types
Drill the highest-weight domains (1, 3, 4, 6) with 10 rapid numerical questions each until accuracy exceeds 85%
Rehearse the derivations most likely to be asked as proofs: binomial and Poisson mean and variance, sampling distribution of the mean, and the one-way ANOVA table
Your checkpoint
Two completed timed mock papers with self-marking, an error log listing the top five recurring mistakes and the corrective rule for each, and a one-page master formula sheet
Milestones
Week 2: Solve 12 mixed descriptive-statistics and probability problems in 90 minutes with at least 80% accuracy, including one Bayes' theorem problem and one grouped-data standard deviation problem
Week 4: Explain aloud, in under 10 minutes and without notes, why the sampling distribution of the mean becomes normal, and derive the correlation-regression relation r squared equals b_yx times b_xy
Week 6: Complete a full one-way ANOVA table from raw data in under 25 minutes with correct sums of squares, degrees of freedom, mean squares and F-statistic
Week 8: Score at least 70% on each of the two timed mock papers, and finish both within the allotted time with no unanswered questions