A 61% Position, a $180,000 Basis, and Four Years to Retirement
Marcus, 61, is a divisional vice president at a mid-cap industrial company. Net worth is $2.6 million: $1.15 million of company stock in a taxable account with a $180,000 cost basis, $400,000 in the 401(k), $350,000 in a diversified taxable portfolio, and $700,000 of home equity. He also holds $300,000 of unvested restricted stock units vesting over four years and a $95,000 pension from the same employer. Salary is $240,000. He plans to retire at 63 and files married-filing-jointly at a 35% federal rate plus 5% state, with the 3.8% net investment income tax applying to gains. He has mild charitable intent and two adult children. He says, 'I'd rather die with the stock than hand almost 30% to the IRS.'
1. Quantify Marcus's concentration and explain why the tax is not the largest risk he faces.
Read the worked answer
Concentration, measured three ways.
- Market value: $1.15M ÷ $1.9M of investable assets = 61% in one stock.
- Including unvested RSUs: $1.45M ÷ $2.2M = 66%.
- On an economic basis the number is worse: his salary, his $95,000 pension, his RSUs, and 61% of his liquid net worth all depend on the same balance sheet. A single adverse event - a plant closure, a product recall, an accounting restatement - hits his income, his unvested equity, and his portfolio simultaneously.
Why the tax framing is backwards.
- The certain cost of diversifying is on the gain only: $1.15M − $180,000 = $970,000 of gain. At 20% federal + 5% state + 3.8% NIIT = 28.8%, that is about $279,000 of tax, leaving roughly $871,000 of diversified assets. The tax is bounded at 28.8% of the gain.
- The risk is not bounded the same way. A 50% decline in the stock costs $575,000 - more than twice the tax bill - and it typically arrives at the same moment his job and RSUs are impaired. Idiosyncratic single-stock risk carries no expected-return premium; he is taking uncompensated risk.
Practical constraint: if his role makes him a Section 16 officer or a designated insider, he cannot simply sell on demand - open windows and blackout periods apply, and the RSU vesting schedule creates forced income regardless. That argues for adopting a Rule 10b5-1 plan during an open window, not for waiting.
2. Rank the diversification tools available to Marcus and build a recommendation. Which ones are actually available to him?
Read the worked answer
Tool-by-tool.
- Staged sale under a 10b5-1 plan (core tool). Certain cost: ~$279,000 of tax on the gain. Available: yes. Sell down over three tax years, using the 20%/23.8% capital-gain rate and the 5% state deduction, and avoid stacking all the gain into one year.
- Donor-advised fund gift of low-basis shares. Deduct fair market value, permanently avoid the capital gain, 30%-of-AGI limit for appreciated long-term property to a public charity with a five-year carryforward. Efficient if he has genuine charitable intent - and he has some. Fund five to ten years of giving with, say, $150,000 of shares.
- Charitable remainder unitrust. Sells inside the trust without immediate tax, diversifies, pays him an income stream, and generates a deduction. But it is irrevocable - he gives up the principal. Appropriate only for a slice he would leave to charity anyway and only once his own spending is funded.
- Exchange fund. Defers the gain, but qualified-purchaser status generally requires roughly $5 million in investments. Marcus has $1.9 million. Not available.
- Collar or prepaid variable forward. Hedges without a taxable sale, but the cost is a capped upside and there is constructive-sale risk if the collar is too tight. A partial hedge on a modest slice, not a strategy.
- Hold for the step-up at death. Only works if he can survive the risk. At 61 with 66% exposure, that is a bet the plan cannot afford, and his estate is far below the exemption threshold - the step-up is worth far less to him than the downside.
Recommendation: adopt a 10b5-1 plan now; sell to a ≤15% policy limit over three years; fund a DAF with appreciated shares this year; keep a residual slice for charitable intent and any step-up potential. Accept the 28.8% tax on the gain as the price of eliminating an unbounded risk.
3. After the sales, the taxable account will dwarf the 401(k). How should the assets be located across the three accounts?
Read the worked answer
New shape of the balance sheet: roughly $1.5M taxable, $400,000 tax-deferred, no meaningful Roth, plus a taxable RSU stream for four more years.
Location rules, applied:
- Taxable account - broad, low-turnover equity index funds and ETFs. Qualified dividends and long-term gains get favorable rates, there is no forced distribution, and the surviving spouse or heirs get a step-up in basis. This is where you want the appre-ciating asset with the largest embedded gain.
- 401(k) - the entire bond allocation. Interest is ordinary income wherever it is earned, so putting it in the tax-deferred account converts nothing from capital-gain to ordinary treatment. It is the cheapest available shelter.
- Roth (build one) - highest expected return. Roth conversions in the low-income years between retirement at 63 and Social Security are attractive; place the most aggressive sleeve there.
- Do not buy municipal bonds. With $400,000 of 401(k) room still available for bonds, a muni in the taxable account would be paying a tax cost to solve a capacity problem he does not yet have.
- Keep 12 months of spending in T-bills inside the taxable account. This prevents a forced sale of equities in a drawdown and, importantly, prevents a forced sale that would trigger the gain he just spent three years managing.
Coordination point: each RSU vest is ordinary income and creates a fresh batch of shares. Sell at vest (or instruct net-share settlement) rather than letting the position rebuild - otherwise the diversification program silently unwinds.