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Question 1Making Effective Decisions
A team must choose between two suppliers. What should be the main basis for the decision?
- Relevant evidence compared against agreed criteria Correct answer.
- The preference of the most senior manager
- The supplier the team has used longest without review
- The most recent complaint received
Explanation
Decisions should be objective and evidence-based, measured against criteria agreed before options are compared. Seniority, anecdotes or habit do not by themselves show which option better meets the need. A clear evidential basis also makes the decision easier to explain and review.
Question 2Making Effective Decisions
A manager reviewing a restructure proposal only asks colleagues who already support it for comments. Which bias is most evident?
- Anchoring bias
- Sunk-cost bias
- Confirmation bias Correct answer.
- Availability bias
Explanation
Confirmation bias is the tendency to seek or favour information that supports an existing view. Asking only supporters limits exposure to contrary evidence and weakens the review. A balanced decision process actively seeks disconfirming views.
Question 3Making Effective Decisions
A public body plans a change that affects disabled service users. What is the most appropriate first step?
- Assess the impact and consult affected users Correct answer.
- Delegate the design to a single adviser
- Delay the change until all staff agree
- Announce the change and handle complaints later
Explanation
Before implementing a change, decision makers should understand its likely impact on affected groups and consult them meaningfully. This supports fair treatment and better evidence. Announcing first and consulting later risks avoidable harm and resistance.
Question 4Making Effective Decisions
Why should a decision maker keep a record of the options considered and the reasons for the choice?
- To replace the need for consultation
- To show that every option was equally good
- To make the decision harder to challenge
- To provide an audit trail and support accountability Correct answer.
Explanation
A decision record shows what evidence was used, what alternatives were considered and why the chosen option was preferred. This supports accountability, learning and review. It does not replace consultation or make a decision immune from challenge.
Question 5Making Effective Decisions
A leak poses an immediate safety risk. The full evidence review is not due until next week. What should the decision maker do?
- Take proportionate action now to reduce the risk, then review Correct answer.
- Wait for the full review before acting
- Ignore the risk until a complaint is made
- Hand the issue to a junior colleague
Explanation
Where there is an immediate risk, decision makers should act proportionately to protect people and then review the action as evidence improves. Waiting for a complete review can allow avoidable harm. The action and its rationale should be recorded.
Question 6Making Effective Decisions
When comparing two IT systems over five years, what does value for money require?
- Buying the system with the most features
- Choosing the lowest purchase price
- Using the same supplier as before
- Comparing whole-life costs and expected benefits Correct answer.
Explanation
Value for money means considering the balance of costs and benefits over the useful life of the option, not just the initial price. Whole-life costs include maintenance, training and exit costs. Benefits should be relevant to the service need.
Question 7Making Effective Decisions
A manager has a financial interest in a company bidding for a contract. What should they do?
- Ask a colleague to vote on their behalf
- Keep quiet and take part in the evaluation
- Declare the interest and withdraw from the decision Correct answer.
- Vote for the bidder only if others agree
Explanation
A conflict of interest should be declared promptly and the person should step back from the decision. This protects impartiality and public trust. Asking a colleague to vote on their behalf does not remove the underlying conflict.
Question 8Making Effective Decisions
Before relying on a survey as evidence, what should a decision maker check first?
- Whether a senior manager commissioned it
- Whether the sample and method are sound Correct answer.
- Whether the results are popular
- Whether the survey is short
Explanation
The value of survey evidence depends on how it was designed, sampled and analysed. A decision maker should check whether the method supports the claims being made. Popularity, brevity or senior sponsorship are not indicators of evidential quality.
Question 9Making Effective Decisions
A team has three options and several criteria. What is the best way to compare them?
- Pick the option supported by the loudest team member
- Choose the option with the shortest description
- Select the option that avoids any change
- Score options against agreed weighted criteria Correct answer.
Explanation
An options appraisal should use criteria agreed in advance and apply them consistently to each option. Weighting can reflect the relative importance of different factors. This makes trade-offs explicit and the decision easier to explain.
Question 10Making Effective Decisions
A new policy may affect people with limited internet access. What should the decision maker do?
- Publish the policy only online
- Collect no information to avoid delay
- Assess the equality impact and adjust the policy Correct answer.
- Assume online access is now universal
Explanation
Decision makers should identify whether a policy affects particular groups differently and adjust the design to avoid unfair barriers. Access needs are relevant evidence, not an optional extra. This may include alternative channels or support.
Question 11Making Effective Decisions
A risk has low likelihood but severe impact if it occurs. What is the most appropriate response?
- Remove it from the risk register
- Wait until it happens to decide
- Ignore it because it is unlikely
- Plan mitigation and monitor the risk Correct answer.
Explanation
Risk should be judged by both likelihood and impact, so a severe-impact risk may need action even if it is unlikely. Mitigation and monitoring reduce the chance or consequence of harm. Ignoring it because it is unlikely understates the potential impact.
Question 12Making Effective Decisions
A project has already spent £2m. New evidence shows its benefits no longer justify the remaining cost. What should guide the decision?
- The wish to avoid embarrassment
- The effort already invested by the team
- Future costs and benefits from this point Correct answer.
- The amount already spent
Explanation
Past spending is a sunk cost and cannot be recovered, so it should not drive a forward-looking decision. The relevant question is whether the remaining costs are justified by the expected future benefits. Continuing only to justify past investment risks greater loss.
Question 13Making Effective Decisions
A decision exceeds your delegated authority. What should you do?
- Ask a junior colleague to sign it off
- Make the decision and seek approval afterwards
- Escalate with evidence and options Correct answer.
- Ignore it because it is not your responsibility
Explanation
Decisions should be taken at the right level of authority. Escalating with a clear summary of evidence and options helps the authorised person decide efficiently. Making the decision first or avoiding responsibility undermines accountability.
Question 14Making Effective Decisions
A decision relies on a survey of 15 people from a large user group. What is the best approach?
- Treat the results as representative of everyone
- Use the survey because it is easy to collect
- Discard all evidence and decide by instinct
- Acknowledge the limitation and seek more evidence Correct answer.
Explanation
Small samples may not represent a large or diverse group, so the limitation should be stated and further evidence sought where the decision is significant. The aim is to match the strength of the evidence to the stakes of the decision. Instinct alone is not a substitute for evidence.
Question 15Making Effective Decisions
A team reaches unanimous agreement very quickly without discussing risks. What should the chair do?
- Record that no risks exist
- Invite challenge and seek independent views Correct answer.
- Accept the decision to save time
- End the meeting immediately
Explanation
Quick unanimity can be a sign of groupthink, where alternatives and risks are not properly tested. The chair should invite challenge and seek independent perspectives before concluding. Recording that no risks exist without discussion is unsafe.
Question 16Making Effective Decisions
An enforcement decision could achieve the aim with a warning or a heavy sanction. What principle applies?
- Choose the fastest option to close the case
- Choose no action to avoid conflict
- Choose the least restrictive action that is effective Correct answer.
- Choose the heaviest sanction to deter others
Explanation
Proportionality requires action to be no more restrictive than necessary to achieve the legitimate aim. A warning may be sufficient if it is effective; a heavier sanction should be justified by the circumstances. Avoiding action entirely may fail to address the issue.
Question 17Making Effective Decisions
After making a significant decision, why is it good practice to explain the reasons to those affected?
- It removes the need to keep records
- It transfers responsibility to the public
- It supports transparency and allows informed challenge Correct answer.
- It guarantees that no one will disagree
Explanation
Explaining reasons makes the basis of a decision visible and supports accountability. It also allows affected people to understand and, where appropriate, challenge the decision. It does not guarantee agreement or remove the need for records.
Question 18Making Effective Decisions
A preferred option would breach a legal requirement. What should the decision maker do?
- Ask staff to ignore the requirement
- Proceed if the benefits are large enough
- Reject the option unless it can be made lawful Correct answer.
- Delay until the law changes
Explanation
Public decisions must comply with the law, and expected benefits do not override legal duties. The option should not proceed unless it can be redesigned to meet the requirement. Delaying indefinitely is not a sound substitute for finding a lawful alternative.
Question 19Making Effective Decisions
A decision is due tomorrow but some data are still missing. What is the best approach?
- Decide with the best available evidence and plan a review Correct answer.
- Use only the data that support a preferred option
- Make no decision and blame the data
- Miss the deadline until every detail is perfect
Explanation
When a deadline is real, decision makers should use the best available evidence, state any uncertainty and plan to review when more information arrives. Waiting for perfect data can cause avoidable delay. Selecting only supportive data is biased.
Question 20Making Effective Decisions
A first estimate of £100,000 is influencing later estimates. What should the decision maker do?
- Ignore all estimates and guess
- Generate independent estimates before comparing Correct answer.
- Use the first estimate as the final figure
- Adjust it slightly to show challenge
Explanation
An initial figure can anchor later judgments, even when it was rough. Independent estimates help test whether the first figure is reliable. Comparing them afterwards exposes the range of uncertainty.
Question 21Making Effective Decisions
A change reduces waiting times in one service but shifts demand to another team. What analysis is most important?
- Checking whether the change is easy to announce
- Measuring only the first team's waiting time
- Mapping second-order effects across the whole system Correct answer.
- Counting how many staff support the change
Explanation
Decisions in complex systems can create unintended consequences elsewhere. Analysing second-order effects helps show whether an improvement in one area simply moves the problem or creates a new one. A narrow measure can hide the overall impact.
Question 22Making Effective Decisions
A decision must balance speed against thoroughness. What is the best way to handle the trade-off?
- Always choose speed to show momentum
- Always choose thoroughness and ignore deadlines
- State the trade-off and apply agreed criteria explicitly Correct answer.
- Let the most senior person decide without explanation
Explanation
Trade-offs should be made explicit so that the chosen balance can be justified and reviewed. Agreed criteria help show why a particular level of speed or thoroughness is appropriate. Defaulting automatically to either extreme ignores the circumstances.
Question 23Making Effective Decisions
Two credible studies give conflicting findings. What should a decision maker do?
- Choose the study that supports the preferred option
- Average the findings without checking methods
- Choose the study with the larger headline number
- Weigh quality, relevance and recency of both studies Correct answer.
Explanation
Conflicting evidence should be assessed by comparing the quality, relevance and recency of each study. The aim is to understand why findings differ and which is more applicable to the decision. Selecting evidence by preference or headline size is biased.
Question 24Making Effective Decisions
A short-term saving would reduce support for a vulnerable group. What should the decision consider?
- Only whether the decision is quick to implement
- Only the saving in the current year
- Only the views of the loudest stakeholders
- Fairness, long-term impact and legal duties Correct answer.
Explanation
A decision with distributional effects should consider fairness, the longer-term impact and relevant legal duties, not just immediate savings. Vulnerable groups may be disproportionately affected and need explicit consideration. A narrow financial view can create greater costs and harm later.
Question 25Making Effective Decisions
After a decision is implemented, what is the purpose of a post-implementation review?
- To compare outcomes with intended aims and adjust if needed Correct answer.
- To avoid collecting further evidence
- To assign blame to individual staff
- To prove that the original decision was perfect
Explanation
A post-implementation review checks whether the decision achieved its intended outcomes and whether assumptions held. It supports learning and timely adjustment. It is not a blame exercise or a way to avoid further evidence.
Question 26Making Effective Decisions
A manager decides to use a spare £50,000 to upgrade a call-handling system. What is the opportunity cost of this choice?
- The best alternative use of the money forgone. Correct answer.
- The price paid for the upgrade itself.
- The efficiency savings the upgrade is expected to produce.
- The total budget available to the unit for the year.
Explanation
Opportunity cost measures the value of the next best alternative that is given up when a resource is committed to one use. It is not the cash price of the chosen option, the size of the budget, or the benefits the chosen option is expected to deliver.
Question 27Making Effective Decisions
When appraising options for a new service, why is the 'do nothing' or status quo option normally included?
- It means that stakeholders do not need to be consulted on the change.
- It provides a baseline against which change can be compared. Correct answer.
- It guarantees that no new risks will arise during implementation.
- It is always the cheapest option available to the organisation.
Explanation
The do-nothing option shows what would happen if no change were made, so the costs and benefits of each alternative can be stated as a difference from that starting point. It is not necessarily cheapest or risk-free, and it does not remove the need to consult those affected.
Question 28Making Effective Decisions
A council plans to introduce a new online form across all of its services. What is the best way to reduce the risk of a costly failure?
- Pilot it with a small group, then adjust before wider rollout. Correct answer.
- Launch it to all users at once so that feedback arrives quickly.
- Delay the launch until every possible fault has been predicted.
- Ask the supplier to confirm that the system has no known problems.
Explanation
A pilot or phased rollout exposes the design to real users at limited cost and allows faults to be corrected before full commitment. Predicting every fault in advance is not feasible, and a supplier's assurance is not independent evidence of performance.
Question 29Making Effective Decisions
What should a decision maker do first when faced with a new and complex problem?
- Gather data on every factor that could be relevant.
- Generate as many options as possible straight away.
- Define the problem and the outcome to be achieved. Correct answer.
- Ask senior managers which solution they prefer.
Explanation
Options and evidence can only be judged against a clear statement of the problem and the intended outcome, which gives the decision its reference point. Starting with options, with a preferred solution, or with undirected data collection risks addressing the wrong question.
Question 30Making Effective Decisions
A manager strongly favours Option A and is gathering evidence to support the case. What is the most effective safeguard against bias?
- Looking only at evidence produced in the last six months.
- Asking a colleague who also favours Option A to review the evidence.
- Deliberately seeking evidence that could show Option A to be wrong. Correct answer.
- Increasing the number of options under consideration to five.
Explanation
Confirmation bias is best countered by actively searching for information that would disconfirm the favoured view, because supportive evidence is otherwise noticed and weighted disproportionately. Adding sympathetic reviewers, narrowing the evidence base or simply adding options does not test the preferred option.
Question 31Making Effective Decisions
A review finds that teams which hold more meetings also report more errors. What is the most appropriate conclusion?
- The finding can be dismissed because it is only a correlation.
- Fewer meetings will always improve accuracy in these teams.
- Meetings cause errors, so the number of meetings should be cut.
- The data show association; the cause needs checking before action. Correct answer.
Explanation
A correlation shows that two measures move together but does not establish which causes which, or whether a third factor such as workload drives both. The appropriate response is further investigation before changing practice, rather than assuming causation or discarding a potentially useful signal.
Question 32Making Effective Decisions
Two identical options are described to staff, one as having a '90% survival rate' and the other a '10% death rate'. Staff strongly prefer the first. What does this illustrate?
- A genuine difference in the level of risk.
- A framing effect, so the format should be consistent. Correct answer.
- A sound use of statistical evidence.
- The need to vary presentation for different audiences.
Explanation
Logically equivalent descriptions of the same risk produced different preferences, which is a framing effect. Keeping the presentation of options consistent reduces the chance that wording, rather than substance, drives the choice.
Question 33Making Effective Decisions
A business case relies on an assumed 12% rise in demand. What is the best way to test how much this assumption matters?
- Add a further assumption to offset any shortfall in demand.
- Remove the demand assumption from the business case entirely.
- Keep the 12% figure because it came from the finance team.
- Recalculate the outcome over a range of plausible figures. Correct answer.
Explanation
Sensitivity analysis varies a key assumption across plausible values to show how far the conclusion depends on it. The source of an assumption does not make it certain, and removing or offsetting it does not reveal how much the answer changes.
Question 34Making Effective Decisions
What is the main value of keeping a written record of the assumptions and evidence behind a significant decision?
- It supports later review and shows that the decision was properly reasoned. Correct answer.
- It guarantees that the decision will deliver its intended benefits.
- It removes the need to review the decision later.
- It allows the decision to be taken without senior approval.
Explanation
A record of evidence, assumptions and reasoning allows the decision to be revisited when circumstances change and provides accountability for how it was reached. It cannot guarantee outcomes, remove the need for review, or substitute for the approvals the decision requires.
Question 35Making Effective Decisions
A project board is about to approve a plan that every member supports. What is the most useful way to test the proposal before approval?
- Shorten the discussion so that the decision is not delayed.
- Appoint a critic to argue against the plan and name failure modes. Correct answer.
- Rely on the senior sponsor's own judgement of the risks.
- Ask the board to vote a second time to confirm the view.
Explanation
Assigning a named challenger makes dissent an expected part of the process and surfaces risks that consensus tends to suppress. Repeating a vote, cutting discussion short or deferring to one person's authority all reduce challenge rather than provide it.
Question 36Making Effective Decisions
A decision to outsource a service has been implemented. What is the most useful way to monitor whether it is working?
- Set indicators and thresholds in advance to trigger a review. Correct answer.
- Wait until users complain before looking at performance data.
- Rely on the supplier's own annual report of its performance.
- Review performance once, at the end of the contract period.
Explanation
Agreeing indicators and thresholds in advance provides early warning and a pre-committed basis for action if performance slips. Waiting for complaints, reviewing only at the end, or relying on self-reported data all delay or distort the picture.
Question 37Making Effective Decisions
After a rare but heavily publicised incident, a manager proposes diverting most of the budget to preventing that one event. Which influence best explains this proposal?
- A forecast showing that the incident is certain to recur next year.
- A systematic comparison of this risk with all other known risks.
- The vividness of a recent example making the risk feel more likely. Correct answer.
- The organisation's published risk appetite statement.
Explanation
The availability heuristic means recent, memorable events are judged more probable and more important than base rates would justify. A systematic comparison, an agreed risk appetite or a forecast would be evidence-based inputs rather than sources of distortion.
Question 38Making Effective Decisions
Two decisions are on the table: one can be easily reversed, the other cannot. How should this difference affect the approach taken?
- Both should receive identical analysis so that the process stays consistent.
- The reversible decision should be delayed until the other is settled.
- Neither needs analysis because the outcome can be reviewed within a year.
- The irreversible decision warrants more analysis and senior scrutiny. Correct answer.
Explanation
Where a decision is hard or impossible to undo, the cost of a poor choice is higher, so it justifies more evidence, more challenge and higher approval. Reversible decisions can be taken faster and corrected later, so consistency of effort is not the same as consistency of standard.
Question 39Making Effective Decisions
A forecast for a new service estimates 20,000 users. What is the best way to present this to decision makers?
- As a figure with no qualifying detail, so it is easy to grasp.
- As the highest plausible figure, so the estimate looks robust.
- As a range, with the key assumptions and confidence stated. Correct answer.
- As a single figure of 20,000 so that the message stays clear.
Explanation
A forecast is inherently uncertain, and presenting a range with its assumptions and confidence level lets decision makers see both downside and upside. A single figure overstates precision, and choosing the highest figure is a bias rather than a caution.
Question 40Making Effective Decisions
A service is already running at capacity. Extending opening hours by two hours would cost £40,000 and generate £55,000 in additional benefit. What should guide the decision?
- Whether the extra benefit exceeds the extra cost of the extension. Correct answer.
- The fact that the service is already running at full capacity.
- The total annual cost of running the whole service.
- Whether other similar services in the organisation have extended their hours.
Explanation
When a service is already operating, the relevant test is the marginal one: whether the additional benefit from the change exceeds the additional cost. Total service costs would be incurred anyway, existing capacity explains the demand but does not decide, and practice elsewhere is not evidence of value.
Question 41Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
A team leader has four items on her list. Applying the urgency–importance principle, which should she tackle first?
- A routine internal newsletter due at the end of next month
- A colleague's request for a character reference with no deadline at all
- A training discount that expires in six weeks' time
- A regulator's statutory return due tomorrow that only she can sign Correct answer.
Explanation
Prioritisation weighs importance (consequence of the work) against urgency (how soon it must be done). Work that is both important and time-bound comes first because delay causes immediate, significant harm. Items that are neither urgent nor consequential wait behind it.
Question 42Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
A civil servant is halfway through a time-critical analysis when a colleague asks for help with a routine query. What is the most appropriate immediate action?
- Forward the request straight away to a junior colleague without checking their capacity
- Note the request, agree a time to respond later, and continue Correct answer.
- Ignore the request entirely and say nothing to the colleague
- Abandon the analysis immediately and help in order to keep the relationship good
Explanation
Protecting a piece of time-critical work means acknowledging the interruption without abandoning the priority task. Logging the request and committing to a specific later slot keeps the relationship intact and the deadline safe. Silent ignoring or unplanned hand-offs create new problems.
Question 43Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
In time-management practice, tasks that are urgent but not important are usually best handled by:
- Scheduling them for the distant future
- Doing them personally straight away
- Discarding them without any review
- Delegating them where possible Correct answer.
Explanation
Urgent-but-unimportant work demands attention now but does not need your particular skills. Delegating it frees senior judgement for work that is both urgent and important.
Question 44Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
It becomes clear that a piece of work cannot be completed by the agreed date. What is the best first step?
- Work unpaid overtime for as long as it takes to close the gap
- Wait until the deadline has passed before raising the problem
- Tell the requester early, with options for what can be delivered Correct answer.
- Submit the work incomplete on the deadline day without any comment
Explanation
Early warning gives the requester time to replan, reprioritise or accept a reduced product. A conversation with options is far more useful than a bare apology after the event.
Question 45Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
In a project plan, the critical path is best described as:
- The set of tasks that carries the highest total cost in the plan
- The tasks that are assigned to the most senior members of staff
- Tasks that have spare time before they would delay the project
- The chain of dependent tasks that sets the minimum project duration Correct answer.
Explanation
The critical path is the longest chain of dependent tasks through the plan, and its length fixes the earliest possible finish date. Any slippage on it moves the whole project.
Question 46Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
Midway through a fixed-deadline piece of work, a stakeholder asks for a substantial addition. What is the best response?
- Refuse outright and stop engaging with the stakeholder
- Accept it quietly and absorb the extra work into evenings and weekends
- Explain the impact on the deadline and agree what will change Correct answer.
- Accept it and drop quality checks on the original work
Explanation
Scope, time and resource are linked, so new scope must be paid for by moving one of the others. Making the trade-off explicit lets the stakeholder choose with full information.
Question 47Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
A manager delegates a task to a capable but inexperienced member of staff. What most improves the chance of on-time delivery?
- Agreeing the outcome, deadline and checkpoints, then confirming understanding Correct answer.
- Doing the task personally to avoid any risk of delay
- Retaining every decision so that the person only does the drafting
- Giving only the deadline and leaving the approach entirely open to them
Explanation
Effective delegation specifies the what, the when and how progress will be monitored, while leaving the how to the person. Confirming understanding catches misalignment before work is wasted.
Question 48Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
A task is estimated at five days and the person is given ten. What is the most likely consequence for pacing?
- The work will be completed in roughly half the time available
- Quality will necessarily double
- The work tends to expand to fill the time allowed Correct answer.
- The estimate will automatically become more accurate
Explanation
Work tends to expand to fill the time available to it, so generous padding often gets consumed rather than banked. Tight but realistic estimates with buffers held at plan level give better control.
Question 49Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
A workstream lead reports 'amber' for the third week running with no change in the underlying issue. What should the delivery manager do?
- Accept amber as a stable position and take no further action
- Ask what would turn it red and agree a recovery action Correct answer.
- Change the status to green to avoid alarming stakeholders
- Escalate immediately to the most senior director in the department
Explanation
A repeated amber with no movement signals a stalled issue rather than a managed one. Agreeing the trigger for red and a recovery action converts the rating into a decision.
Question 50Delivering at Pace and Prioritising Work
A civil servant's inbox constantly interrupts deep analytical work. Which approach best protects delivery?
- Set fixed times to review email and mute alerts during focused work Correct answer.
- Ask colleagues to stop sending email altogether
- Respond to each email the moment that it arrives in the inbox
- Leave all email unread for the whole working week
Explanation
Batching email into defined slots preserves uninterrupted blocks for demanding work while keeping responses timely. It manages the interruption rather than eliminating communication.