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CEA: Economic Analysis

CEA · Work through your exam, one topic at a time.

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Economic Analysis

What this domain tests

Economic analysis tests whether you can rank measures fairly. Know simple payback, ROI, net present value (NPV), internal rate of return (IRR), and life-cycle cost (LCC), and when each is appropriate.

Core rules

  • Simple payback = initial cost ÷ annual savings; it ignores project life and time value.
  • NPV = Σ CFt ÷ (1+r)^t − initial cost; accept when NPV > 0.
  • IRR is the discount rate where NPV = 0; compare with the hurdle rate.
  • Include escalation for energy prices, maintenance, and replacement.
  • Count demand savings, tax incentives, and avoided capital as part of the cash flow.

Worked example

A $50,000 retrofit saves $12,000/yr for 15 years. Simple payback = 50,000 ÷ 12,000 = 4.2 years. At an 8% discount rate, the present value annuity factor for 15 years is 8.559. PV of savings = 12,000 × 8.559 = $102,708; NPV = 102,708 − 50,000 = $52,708. Positive NPV confirms the project clears the hurdle, even though simple payback alone says nothing about the 15-year value.

Traps

Using simple payback to reject long-life measures; ignoring energy escalation; double-counting savings; and comparing alternatives with different lives without an annualized or LCC basis.