Crash, Fast-Track, or Both
Marcus manages a regulatory compliance upgrade with a statutory go-live in 160 days; the penalty for missing it is USD 25,000 per day. The critical path is 180 days. Crashing activity A buys 10 days at USD 6,000 per day; activity B buys 8 days at USD 9,000 per day. Fast-tracking activities C and D - currently sequential, with 20 days of overlap available - carries a 40% chance of a 15-day rework delay. Activity E has 12 days of total float; activity F has 3. The team has worked 12 consecutive weekends, and the defect escape rate has doubled in the past month.
1. Which compression option should Marcus choose to close the 20-day gap, and how does the arithmetic drive the decision?
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The gap is 180 − 160 = 20 days.
Option 1 - Crash A and B fully:
- A: 10 days × USD 6,000 = USD 60,000
- B: 8 days × USD 9,000 = USD 72,000
- Total: 18 days for USD 132,000 (≈ USD 7,300 per day recovered)
- Still 2 days short of the gap.
Compare to the penalty: USD 25,000 per day of delay far exceeds the ~USD 7,300/day crash cost, so crashing A and B is economically justified - it is buying days more cheaply than the penalty accrues.
Option 2 - Fast-track C and D:
- 20 days of overlap is available, but the expected delay is 0.4 × 15 = 6 days, plus rework cost and an unknown effect on regulatory evidence quality. On an expected-value basis this recovers only ~14 net days, and the downside case blows the deadline.
Recommendation: Crash A and B (18 days, low technical risk because the work is unchanged, only compressed), then close the remaining 2 days through a limited, well-sequenced overlap of C and D - or find 2 more crashable days on the critical path. Do not fast-track the full 20 days; the 40% rework risk on a statutory deliverable is the wrong risk to take when a cheaper deterministic option exists.
Float note: E (12 days) and F (3 days) are irrelevant to compression - shortening non-critical activities buys no schedule and only adds cost.
2. What does the team's condition - 12 consecutive weekends, doubled defect escape rate - imply for the compression plan?
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It means the plan cannot be evaluated on cost and duration alone. Two symptoms point to the same cause:
- Doubled defect escape rate is a leading indicator that quality is degrading under fatigue. Defects found late cost more and, if they land on the critical path, consume exactly the days Marcus is paying to buy.
- 12 consecutive weekends indicates the schedule is being sustained by an unsustainable input. The team may already be producing negative net recovery.
Implications:
- Crashing adds pressure to the same exhausted team unless the crashed activities can be staffed or de-scoped. Verify the crash estimate of "10 days saved" is achievable by this team in its current state - often such estimates assume healthy throughput.
- Add schedule reserve for rework, and treat the fast-track rework risk as higher than the nominal 40%.
- Raise the trend to the sponsor as a risk, not a status footnote: the quality trend may itself threaten the statutory date more than the 20-day gap does.
- Consider whether a phased or partial regulatory submission reduces scope enough to remove the need for extreme compression.
3. After the sponsor approves compression, what must Marcus update, and in what order, to keep the plan honest?
Read the worked answer
Compression is an approved change, not a working adjustment. The order matters:
- Integrated change control - document the approved change request, its rationale, and the sponsor's decision. Without this, the new dates and costs are unofficial.
- Schedule baseline - update activity durations, dependencies (especially the new C/D overlap), the critical path, and the revised finish date. Note that compressing A and B may change which path is critical; re-run the network after compression.
- Cost baseline - add the crash costs (USD 132,000 plus any residual) and any rework contingency; update the funding requirement so the money is actually available.
- Risk register - add the fast-track rework risk and the quality/fatigue risk with owners, triggers, and responses; update the expected-value analysis.
- Resource and quality plans - reflect revised staffing, overtime limits, and any added review gates to catch defects earlier.
- Communications - inform the regulator-facing stakeholders and the team of the revised plan and what it assumes.
Reasoning: The exam tests whether you treat approved changes as updates to the plan, not just as new dates in a status email. Rebaselining before approval, or compressing without touching cost and risk, are both failing behaviors.