CNSF Actuario Daños study plan
CNSF Actuario Daños · Give each week a clear focus.
8 weeks · About 7 hours per week
Matemáticas actuariales y teoría del riesgo & Modelado de frecuencia y severidad de siniestros
Derive and apply the collective risk model (compound Poisson, Panjer recursion) to compute aggregate loss distributions by hand for small portfolios
Distinguish frequency distributions (Poisson, negative binomial, binomial) and select the appropriate one for overdispersed claim counts using variance-to-mean diagnostics
Fit severity distributions (lognormal, gamma, Pareto, Weibull) to a sample of claim amounts and estimate parameters by maximum likelihood, interpreting tail behavior
Explain the effect of deductibles, policy limits and coinsurance on the severity distribution and compute limited expected values
Your checkpoint
A one-page worked solution set (with formulas and numeric answers) covering one aggregate loss calculation, one frequency selection with justification, and one severity fit with parameter estimates and tail comparison
Matemáticas actuariales y teoría del riesgo & Modelado de frecuencia y severidad de siniestros
Compute VaR and TVaR for fitted loss distributions and compare their behavior in the tail
Apply credibility theory (Bühlmann, Bühlmann-Straub) to blend portfolio and insured experience
Estimate loss trends and apply trend factors to frequency and severity separately, documenting assumptions
Build a frequency-severity simulation in a spreadsheet or script and validate output against analytic results
Your checkpoint
A short technical note (2-3 pages) presenting a simulated aggregate loss distribution with VaR/TVaR at 99% and 99.5%, reconciled against the analytic approximation
Tarificación y suscripción en seguros de daños & Reservas técnicas y estimación de siniestros pendientes
Construct a gross rate for a commercial property or liability line from pure premium, expense load, profit and contingency margin, and verify the balance equation
Differentiate rating variables that are actuarially justified from those that create unfair discrimination risk
Calculate incurred-but-not-reported (IBNR) reserves using chain-ladder and Bornhuetter-Ferguson on a development triangle, and reconcile the two estimates
Identify reserve adequacy indicators and describe how case reserves, IBNR and ULAE interact in the technical reserve
Your checkpoint
A completed development triangle exercise with chain-ladder and Bornhuetter-Ferguson IBNR estimates, a reconciliation paragraph explaining the difference, and a rate build-up table showing all loadings
Marco legal y regulatorio de seguros de daños en México & Solvencia, capital regulatorio y gestión de riesgos (ERS)
Map the key obligations of the Ley de Instituciones de Seguros y de Fianzas (LISF) and Circular Única de Seguros y Fianzas to actuarial practice areas (pricing, reserving, solvency, reporting)
Explain the structure of the régimen de solvencia: required solvency capital, minimum paid-in capital, and the calculation bases for each
Describe the role of the Comisión Nacional de Seguros y Fianzas (CNSF) in authorization, supervision and intervention
Outline the requirements and governance expectations of the external actuarial audit and the responsible actuary figure
Your checkpoint
A regulatory map (table or diagram) linking at least 12 LISF/CUSF obligations to the actuarial function they constrain, each with a one-line practical implication for a daños actuary
Solvencia, capital regulatorio y gestión de riesgos (ERS) & Reaseguro y transferencia de riesgo
Compute the required solvency capital for a sample daños portfolio under the regulatory formula and compare it to economic capital from a VaR approach
Apply proportional, excess-of-loss and stop-loss treaties to a loss sample and quantify ceded losses, retained losses and reinsurance recovery
Explain the effect of reinsurance on solvency capital, reserve credit and counterparty risk under the regulatory framework
Draft the core elements of an ORSA narrative: risk appetite, own risk assessment, capital projection and stress scenarios
Your checkpoint
A solvency and reinsurance memo (3-4 pages) with a capital calculation table, a treaty comparison showing ceded vs retained results, and a stress-test section with at least two scenarios
Solvencia, capital regulatorio y gestión de riesgos (ERS) & Inversiones, activos y gestión de portafolio
Identify the risk categories of the enterprise risk management (ERS) framework and assign at least two concrete daños-specific risks to each
Build a risk register with likelihood, impact, mitigation and owner for a hypothetical insurer
Evaluate investment portfolio constraints for technical reserves: matching of duration and currency, eligible assets, diversification and liquidity limits
Compute duration, modified duration and convexity for a sample bond portfolio and interpret interest-rate sensitivity
Your checkpoint
A risk register plus asset-liability summary showing portfolio duration against reserve duration, with a written recommendation on matching gaps
Ética profesional y normativa de conducta & Reportes regulatorios y comunicación de resultados técnicos
Apply the professional code of conduct to three realistic dilemmas (conflicting data requests, pressure to understate reserves, use of confidential information) and justify the chosen action
Draft the sections of a quarterly regulatory report: reserve movements, solvency position, reinsurance program and variance explanations
Translate technical results into a one-page executive summary for a non-actuarial board audience without losing accuracy
Identify the documentation and audit-trail standards expected for actuarial assumptions and model changes
Your checkpoint
A mock quarterly technical report (4-5 pages) including reserve and solvency sections, an executive summary, and a documented resolution of one ethical dilemma
Marco legal y regulatorio de seguros de daños en México & Tarificación y suscripción en seguros de daños & Reservas técnicas y estimación de siniestros pendientes
Consolidate weak areas by re-solving missed problems from weeks 1-7 under timed conditions
Complete two full-length timed practice sets spanning all ten domains and record accuracy by domain
Review the regulatory and ethical content most likely to be tested in short-answer form
Build a personal formula and definitions sheet limited to what can be recalled in the exam
Your checkpoint
A scored diagnostic report by domain from two timed practice sets, plus a finalized one-page formula and definitions sheet
Milestones
Week 2: Can compute VaR and TVaR for a fitted severity distribution and explain in writing why TVaR is preferred for tail risk, without notes
Week 4: Can state the main LISF/CUSF obligations for pricing, reserving, solvency and reporting, and compute the required solvency capital for a simple portfolio unaided
Week 6: Can produce a risk register and a duration-matching recommendation for a sample balance sheet within 45 minutes, with no calculation errors on duration
Week 8: Scores at least 70% overall on both timed practice sets, with no domain below 60% and at least 75% on domains 2, 3, 4, 5 and 7